The historic collapse of the MAS in 2025 brings two decades of populist hegemony to a close and opens up an unprecedented presidential race between the traditional Jorge Quiroga and the emerging Rodrigo Paz.

Despite the polls, the real surprise in the second ballot of Uruguay's presidential elections wouldn't be the ruling party's victory, but its defeat.

In Latin America, the executive’s positive approval tends to reasonably predict the continuity of the ruling party's power.