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Post-Raúl Castro Cuba: scenarios and political change

The death of Raúl Castro could alter the internal balance of power within the Cuban regime at a time marked by economic crisis and growing social discontent.

Welcome to oclotyranny

Oclotyranny describes a new form of authoritarianism that comes to power through the ballot box and, from within the institutions, erodes democratic rules and checks and balances.

Contested at the ballot box, underrepresented in power: women in Brazil’s 2026 elections

In Brazil, women constitute the majority of voters, but hold less than 20% of seats in the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate, highlighting the gap between electoral weight and political power.

From Colombia to Brazil: how AI is transforming Latin American elections

Artificial intelligence is transforming Latin American elections, from campaigns and disinformation to electoral management, forcing democracies to adapt urgently.

Mercosur: integrating without converging

After 35 years of existence, and as the bloc enters a new phase of external opening, the gaps between Mercosur’s members persist.

The paradox of Brazil: a conservative country with a left-wing president

Lula could be re-elected, but the left would remain far from gaining control of power, since a Congress, governors, and a largely conservative Centrão would limit its room for maneuver.