With Flávio Bolsonaro emerging stronger after the first round, Lula faces a decisive runoff that will test his ability to reinvent himself and the future of Brazilian democracy.
Mercosur has already suspended countries due to democratic breakdowns. The challenge lies in applying this tool with clear criteria, without bias, and with the capacity to yield results.
The Bolsonaro-led offensive against career diplomats revives the specter of the dictatorship’s ideological purges and threatens to turn Itamaraty into a tool of political loyalty.
The OAS seeks to increase diplomatic pressure on Nicaragua, but its effectiveness will depend on whether the follow-up leads to concrete measures against the regime.
Brazil’s elections could shape the course of Latin America’s energy transition by promoting a model that prioritizes extractivism and investment over climate justice.
