Venezuela and Cuba are experimenting with a limited economic opening to preserve political control, following the model of China and Vietnam without opening the door to democratic freedoms.
Washington is once again betting on a strategy that already failed more than six decades ago: using economic sanctions to force political change in Cuba. Yet, while it seeks to isolate the regime, it also hampers reforms and pushes Havana closer to China.
Dialogue between the countries reflects an asymmetric and limited negotiation, in which external pressure seeks structural change while the regime prioritizes its survival.
After an ambitious speech in Davos about international coherence, the Canadian government faces criticism for its caution and silence regarding the humanitarian crisis in Cuba.