César Ulloa is a political scientist and communicator. His latest books are The Challenges of Democracy in the Region (2024) and Ecuador: Dialogue and Minimum Agreements (2023).
With record levels of violence, a weakened government, and an impending electoral scenario, Ecuador is heading toward 2026 amid political tensions, institutional fragility, and unmet social demands.
In the same way that debates on international trade are being reopened today, the fragility of certain consensuses that were taken for granted is becoming evident.
Although this is the first time since 2007 that the Citizen Revolution has reached the second round without starting in first place, it surpassed its voting ceiling, marking a shift in its electoral performance.
Ecuador has 290 registered political groups eligible to nominate candidates for local elections. The number of candidates vastly exceeds the positions available for the various offices.
A month after Daniel Noboa took office, the latest events of insecurity and violence are testing the president's ability to confront this declared war on organized crime.
The Ecuadorian president's decision to dissolve the Assembly took place in a context of a generalized insecurity crisis, a high unemployment rate and an ongoing conflict with members of Congress.