Political scientist and economist. PhD from the University of Toronto. Senior Editor at Global Brief Magazine. Social Research Design Specialist at RIWI Corp. (Real-Time Interactive World-Wide Intelligence).
The discrepancy between poll predictions and election results has sparked a profound debate about their effectiveness and relevance in contemporary society. This has led to questions about their usefulness.
The level of political debate in Mexico is at an all-time low, and the campaigns that are beginning in the run-up to next year's presidential elections do not aim to be a battle of ideas.
For several years AMLO has tried to undermine INE's autonomy and budget, subordinating it to his orbit of influence, thus safeguarding his MORENA Party.
A characteristic of the Latin American left that separates it from its European and North American counterparts is its clear commitment to the exploitation of natural resources as a lever for development.
The lesson of the consultation would be that although AMLO and his party seem unbeatable in the media and social networks, electorally it is perfectly possible to defeat them.
Mexico's party system is at risk of collapse. The signs are clear: opportunistic alliances between parties of different orientations; social polarization around a caudilista figure ; officialdom that does not end up becoming institutionalized; a crisis of representation between parties and citizens; the appearance of business parties or black money in campaigns.
The president wants to eliminate the deputies who reach congress through proportional representation in order to "guarantee democracy". But this reform opens the possibility of taking us back to the single-party system of the past.
The most surprising result of the past mid-term elections was the apparent divorce between AMLO and the Mexico City voter. But it has not been such, the CDMX is not leftist, the capital has always had an opposition vocation.
One of the most repeated discursive elements of the president's speech is austerity. They never miss a chance to remind us how much they save on salaries, suppliers, gasoline, and bureaucratic expenses. He has turned savings into a symbol of honesty and moral authority with traces of fetishism.
