Ideas
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The first victim of the Trump corollary: Venezuela
Donald Trump’s electoral victory for a second, nonconsecutive term was seen by Venezuelans—inside and outside the United States—as the last opportunity to achieve a political transition in Venezuela. Once again, the hope of millions of Venezuelans to return to democracy was placed in the hands of the U.S. president. However, Trump had other plans. Winning the Hispanic vote in South Florida is no longer a priority for the Republican Party. In the 2024 electoral campaign, after having been used as a proxy for the Cuban-American bloc in 2020, Venezuelans became the target of continuous attacks within the context of Trump’s anti-immigration campaign message. In a state that is a safe bet for the Republican Party, the criminalization of Venezuelan immigrants—far from provoking rejection among Cuban and Venezuelan diasporas—found broad support. Among the first measures of the new Trump administration was the issuance of a series of executive orders to curb irregular immigration. One of the migrant communities most affected by this decision was the Venezuelan one, with the designation of the Tren de Aragua as a terrorist organization, since nationality alone became sufficient to criminalize Venezuelans in the United States. In this context, one of the most controversial episodes in the political...
Why Paraguay matters so much to China, Taiwan, and the United States
Paraguay, despite its size and remoteness, has become a key piece in the geopolitical dispute between China, Taiwan, and the United States, as it is the only country in South America that still diplomatically recognizes Taipei.
Against the usurpers: whether dictators or imperialists
The Venezuelan crisis does not mean to choose between the Chavista authoritarian rule and unilateral imperial intervention from the U.S. Both represent unacceptable forms of usurpation of sovereignty and democratic will.
Chavismo without Maduro: survival, negotiation and power in a new geopolitical scenario
Nicolás Maduro's forced exit doesn't spell the end of Chavismo, but rather the beginning of a survival strategy based on internal cohesion, negotiation with the United States, and adaptation to a new geopolitical order.
2025: America in realignment
The year 2025 left democracies alive but exhausted and a reconfigured political map. Amid fears and emergencies, the majority chose security. Are we facing a drift toward a punitive order?
2025: The end of an era? Where? For whom?
2025 looms as a pivotal year in which the old order no longer works, but the new has yet to find a place, protagonists, or a shared sense of meaning.